Welcome QR Code readers! If you have scanned the QR Code on my poster, it has brought you here. I am still compiling my full presentation for the SouthEastern Division of the American Association of Geographers Conference, to be held November 24-25, 2019. This post is just a placeholder for the presentation and reference list TBA. In the meantime, enjoy this preview.
I will be continuing my “Meteorology and Myth” Weather-and-Climate Education series this fall with another project on weather lore, this time titled “Meteorology and Myth – Part II: A Fair Candlemas”
This post is just a placeholder for now.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: I teach an introductory course in “Weather and Climate”. Whenever February 2nd rolls around, a student will ask if the “Groundhog Day” predictions are true. I used to always answer “NO!” The presence or absence of sunshine on any one particular day can not be used to determine either a shortened or a prolonged winter. Punxsutawney Phil’s predictions are just folksy nonsense.
However, I got to thinking about it … and began to hypothesize that there may be a teaching opportunity in this legend. Although the Groundhog’s prediction does not make meteorological sense in the short term, perhaps there are long-term climatological averages about prolonged-winters and early-springs, which may have allowed the folklore to survive and diffuse.
The purpose of the overall project is to develop general education teaching modules which bridge topics in geography, atmospheric science, history, art, culture and folklore. Students in the arts and humanities often struggle with physical science. Equally, students in Geoscience and other STEM fields often need a greater appreciation for the arts and humanities. The intent is not to have students “prove” whether or not Groundhog Day predictions are true. Instead, the goal is for students to have a better understanding of atmospheric circulations, global teleconnections and weather patterns. Secondarily, students should have a better appreciation for folklore, history, culture and environment.
Look for more updates and embellishments in November!
No foolin’ !!! Last night was the Graduate School Symposium and Open House. Current graduate students, potential graduate students and their families enjoyed poster presentations, refreshments and opportunities to discuss our numerous graduate programs. There were a record number 69 posters submitted this year. I had four of my graduate students present posters.
You can find more information about the Graduate School linked here:
PDSI tracking of alternating periods of drought and excess moisture in southeastern North Carolina 1895-2018
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is the most widely used tool for measuring regional drought. NOAA provides access to free data measuring regional drought impact with downloadable climate region data. Drought is the deficiency of moisture when compared to the normal or expected amount over an extended period of time in a particular area. Past droughtcycles have been the subject of study since the 1960s. The PDSI can also be used in analysis of inverse cycles in those periods of extreme wetness. In Southeastern North Carolina, excess moisture is a concern and economic impact of excess moisture has been evident in recent, post-hurricane inundations. Excess moisture is a condition of an overabundance of rain and/or overland flooding, without compensating evapotranspiration. Both ends of the extreme affect agriculture and regional economy The advantage of PDSI over other indices is that it addresses two important properties of droughts – their magnitude and beginning/ending times. These are the most important aspects about drought cycles for this project. The PDSI ranges from -6.0 for extreme drought to +6.0 for extreme excess moisture conditions. Although the PDSI is used to assess regional periods of drought, the index is used less frequently to study drought’s inverse — periods of extreme wetness. If the behavior of drought cycles can be studied, and even predicted using PDSI, then cycles of extreme moisture could also be analyzed. This analysis studies the time series of the PDSI in the North Carolina Southern Coastal Plain Climate Division from 1895 to 2108. Periods of extreme drought and extreme wetness in the region are interpreted in the historical, climatological context, with consideration of unprecedented drought or extreme wetness. The magnitude of drought and excess moisture periods and their time series runs are reported.
Stay tuned for photos and updates from the NCAS event!
This was a wonderful trip! I had not been in Kent for almost 20 years. So much has changed … What ever happened to JB’s Down?
The Kent State University Hotel and Conference Center is a wonderful place. The whole downtown Kent area has been transformed in the past few years. Also, I could believe all the new buildings that have been erected on campus.
It was another successful Applied Geography Conference. Much thanks to Dr. Jay Lee, the AGC Director for many years.
This is a group photo of current Kent State University Climatology faculty and graduate students. Oddly absent in the above photo however … is my dissertation adviser Dr. Thomas Schmidlin. Fortunately, I was able to catch up with him at lunch the next day and at the conference keynote address.
Also notable: While I was in Kent I visited Ray’s Place. My friend Bob (also an old KSU room mate), was kind enough to buy me a late lunch. I had the “Mofo Burger“.
Look for me at the next Applied Geography Conference to be held in Charlotte, NC October 2019.
Update: The YouTube video blogger Joe from “Our Earth” provided this introduction to the conference.
Oh man, it rained every day of the conference. I was hoping to get a better look at all the new features of KSU. I still had a great time, but there was never a good day for walking around.
The Sun came out the morning after the conference was over and I was checking out.